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Recipe-to-Inventory Variance Planner

The most useful control in any kitchen is embarrassingly simple: what should be left, versus what is left. Define your ingredients and per-portion recipe usage, enter the portions sold, and this planner computes theoretical stock remaining, then takes your actual closing count and shows the variance per ingredient, the number that separates wastage from theft from over-portioning.

Menu Intelligence — Recipe-to-Inventory Variance Planner
In short

Theoretical remaining stock = opening + purchases minus (per-portion usage times portions sold, summed across recipes). Variance = actual counted minus theoretical. Consistent negative variance on one ingredient means over-portioning or leakage on the dishes using it.

Per-portion usage comes from your recipe cards, weighed, not remembered. The platform version runs the same math automatically from POS sales every night and trends the variance; this page is for running the control by hand and proving it works.

1 · Ingredients & stock

IngredientUnitOpening stockPurchased todayActual counted (close)

2 · Recipes & portions sold

3 · Theoretical vs actual

IngredientAvailableTheoretical usageExpected remainingActual countedVariance
Paneer12 kg8.55 kg3.45 kgcount to see
Butter5 kg1.45 kg3.55 kgcount to see
Tomato30 kg6.5 kg23.5 kgcount to see

Negative variance (red) = stock missing beyond what sales explain: over-portioning, wastage or leakage. This is a one-day worksheet; the platform version runs it automatically from your POS sales every night — see the platform.

How to use the Recipe-to-Inventory Variance Planner

  1. List ingredients with opening stock and today's purchases.
  2. Define each recipe's per-portion usage and enter portions sold.
  3. Enter the closing physical count and read the variance per ingredient.

Frequently asked questions

What variance is normal, and what is a red flag?

Within 2-3% of usage is measurement noise, scales, spillage, trim differences. Consistent 5%+ negative on a specific ingredient is a finding: check the portioning tools on its dishes first, then prep wastage, then the back door, in that order of likelihood. Positive variance usually means portions are being shorted, which is a guest problem.

Where do accurate per-portion quantities come from?

From weighing, once: prep the dish to spec, weigh each ingredient, divide by portions. Recipe cards built from memory run 10-20% off actuals, which destroys the variance signal. One afternoon of weighing your top ten sellers covers most of your usage.

Doing this daily by hand is heavy. What is the sustainable version?

By hand, run it on your five costliest ingredients only, paneer, chicken, butter, oil, prawns cover most kitchens' leakage exposure. The automated version links recipes to POS sales so every ingredient reconciles nightly without data entry, that is the Recipe-to-Inventory module on our platform.

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